That's Gonnahttps://thatsgonna.com/That's Gonna tracks prediction markets: live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi, daily biggest movers, and sourced news on regulation, platforms and volumes.en Prediction market movers: Nov 12, 2026https://thatsgonna.com/movers/2026-11-12/https://thatsgonna.com/movers/2026-11-12/Thu, 12 Nov 2026 06:20:40 +0000Daily prediction market movers CFTC examines whether Kalshi improperly self-certified event contractshttps://thatsgonna.com/news/cftc-examines-whether-kalshi-improperly-self-certified-event-contracts/https://thatsgonna.com/news/cftc-examines-whether-kalshi-improperly-self-certified-event-contracts/Thu, 12 Nov 2026 04:02:39 +0000The CFTC is investigating whether Kalshi improperly self-certified event contracts, CNBC reported, following an August order to remove a sports-focused market. Prediction markets show more than $50 million tied to Mississippi Senate racehttps://thatsgonna.com/news/prediction-markets-show-more-than-50-million-tied-to-mississippi/https://thatsgonna.com/news/prediction-markets-show-more-than-50-million-tied-to-mississippi/Thu, 12 Nov 2026 04:02:18 +0000Kalshi and Polymarket carry more than $50 million in bets tied to Mississippi's U.S. Senate race, according to a Yahoo report. Here is what is known and what is not. Coinbase, Kalshi and Payward back CFTC in stock perpetuals case, a test for prediction marketshttps://thatsgonna.com/news/coinbase-kalshi-and-payward-back-cftc-in-stock-perpetuals-case/https://thatsgonna.com/news/coinbase-kalshi-and-payward-back-cftc-in-stock-perpetuals-case/Thu, 12 Nov 2026 04:02:15 +0000Coinbase, Kalshi and Payward have asked a court to let them file an amicus brief backing the CFTC's authority over single-stock perpetual futures in the US. Robinhood Reports Record Equity Trading Day and Points to Prediction Markets Growthhttps://thatsgonna.com/news/robinhood-reports-record-equity-trading-day-and-points-to-prediction/https://thatsgonna.com/news/robinhood-reports-record-equity-trading-day-and-points-to-prediction/Thu, 12 Nov 2026 03:56:39 +0000Robinhood says it had its highest-ever equity trading day, and an executive pointed to growth in prediction markets and AI trading. Here is what was reported. Warren and Merkley Raise Ethics Concerns Over Trump Aide's Prediction Market Betshttps://thatsgonna.com/news/warren-and-merkley-raise-ethics-concerns-over-trump-aide-s/https://thatsgonna.com/news/warren-and-merkley-raise-ethics-concerns-over-trump-aide-s/Thu, 12 Nov 2026 03:56:37 +0000Sens. Warren and Merkley have raised ethics concerns about a Trump aide's prediction market bets, after the CFTC penalized Gabriel Perez over Kalshi trades in August.