Politics · Kalshi
Who will be the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee? Odds
As of 13.11.2026 00:22 UTC, traders on Kalshi put Jon Ossoff at 26%, little changed over 24 hours. $2.8M traded in the last 24 hours; $290M in total.
Context
No sourced explanation for this move is available in our recent coverage.
- Jon Ossoff 26%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14%
- Gavin Newsom 11%
- Pete Buttigieg 5%
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 26% | ±0 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 15% | ±0 |
| Gavin Newsom | 12% | +1 |
| Pete Buttigieg | 5% | ±0 |
| Kamala Harris | 5% | ±0 |
| Josh Shapiro | 5% | ±0 |
| Andy Beshear | 4% | ±0 |
| Raphael Warnock | 4% | ±0 |
| Mark Kelly | 4% | ±0 |
| Mikie Sherrill | 3% | +2.9 |
| James Talarico | 3% | ±0 |
| Wes Moore | 2% | ±0 |
| J.B. Pritzker | 2% | ±0 |
| Rahm Emanuel | 2% | ±0 |
| Ro Khanna | 2% | ±0 |
Per-contract closing dates are not listed for this market; each contract's deadline follows the platform's rules — check the market page. View the market on Kalshi ↗
About this market
This Kalshi market asks who will be the Democratic Party's presidential nominee in 2028. Each politician on the list is a separate outcome with its own live odds. The market is scheduled to close on 2028-11-07. According to the rules text published with the market, it resolves to Yes if Hunter Biden wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for the presidency in 2028. That wording names a person who does not appear among the listed outcomes, so readers should check the official rules on Kalshi. Prices can shift with general developments such as candidates announcing or ruling out a run, decisions about the primary calendar, polling, fundraising reports, endorsements, major political events and changes in public standing. This page reports market data only.
FAQ
What are the current odds for “Who will be the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee?”?
At our last update (13.11.2026 00:22 UTC), Kalshi traders priced Jon Ossoff at 26%. Prices move with trading and are not a forecast by That's Gonna Come.
When does this market close?
The market is scheduled to close on 2028-11-07.
How does this market resolve?
Per the published rules, it resolves to Yes if Hunter Biden wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for the presidency in 2028. This wording names a person not among the listed outcomes, so check the official rules on Kalshi.
Odds are market prices set by traders, not predictions by That's Gonna Come and not financial or betting advice. 18+ only; platform eligibility varies by country and state.