Economy & Fed · Polymarket
Anthropic IPO closing market cap: what will it be? Odds
As of 13.11.2026 00:22 UTC, traders on Polymarket put $1.25–$1.5T at 36%, up 2.7 points in 24 hours. $672K traded in the last 24 hours; $5.8M in total.
Context
No sourced explanation for this move is available in our recent coverage.
- $1.25–$1.5T 37%
- $1.5–$1.75T 25%
- <$1.25T 18%
- $1.75–$2.0T 13%
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| $1.25–$1.5T | 36% | +2.7 |
| $1.5–$1.75T | 29% | ±0 |
| <$1.25T | 19% | +2.5 |
| $1.75–$2.0T | 11% | −2.4 |
| $2.0–$2.25T | 4% | −2.6 |
| $2.25–$2.5T | 0.9% | ±0 |
| No IPO by December 31, 2027 | 0.5% | ±0 |
| $2.5–$2.75T | <1% | ±0 |
| $3.0T+ | <1% | ±0 |
| $2.75–$3.0T | <1% | ±0 |
Per-contract closing dates are not listed for this market; each contract's deadline follows the platform's rules — check the market page. View the market on Polymarket ↗
About this market
This market asks what Anthropic's market capitalization will be at the close of its first day of trading, assuming it goes public. Market cap means the value of all outstanding shares, found by multiplying the share count by the final price of that first session. Outcomes are grouped into value brackets, plus an option for the case where no IPO happens by the deadline set in the rules. A value exactly on the border between two brackets goes to the higher bracket. Resolution relies on the primary exchange's official listing page, or another reliable source if needed. Events that could move this market include filing news, funding rounds, financial results, regulatory developments, competition among AI companies, and broader stock market conditions.
FAQ
What are the current odds for “Anthropic IPO closing market cap: what will it be?”?
At our last update (13.11.2026 00:22 UTC), Polymarket traders priced $1.25–$1.5T at 36%. Prices move with trading and are not a forecast by That's Gonna Come.
When does this market close?
The market closes on 2028-01-01. If no IPO takes place by the deadline in the rules, it resolves to the no-IPO outcome.
How does this market resolve?
It resolves to the bracket containing Anthropic's market cap at the official close of its first trading day, using the primary exchange's listing page. A value exactly between two brackets goes to the higher one. If the first session is cut short, the official closing price of that shortened session is used.
Odds are market prices set by traders, not predictions by That's Gonna Come and not financial or betting advice. 18+ only; platform eligibility varies by country and state.