Politics · Kalshi · Closes 07.11.2029 UTC
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? Odds
As of 13.11.2026 06:22 UTC, traders on Kalshi put Jon Ossoff at 18%, down 1 point in 24 hours. $2.3M traded in the last 24 hours; $101M in total.
Context
No sourced explanation for this move is available in our recent coverage.
- Jon Ossoff 18%
- J.D. Vance 13%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10%
- Marco Rubio 9%
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 18% | −1 |
| J.D. Vance | 14% | −1 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 10% | ±0 |
| Marco Rubio | 9% | ±0 |
| Gavin Newsom | 8% | +0.6 |
| Ron DeSantis | 6% | ±0 |
| Kamala Harris | 4% | ±0 |
| Andy Beshear | 3% | ±0 |
| Pete Buttigieg | 3% | ±0 |
| Josh Shapiro | 3% | ±0 |
| Mark Kelly | 3% | ±0 |
| Raphael Warnock | 2% | ±0 |
| J.B. Pritzker | 2% | ±0 |
| James Talarico | 2% | ±0 |
| Wes Moore | 2% | ±0 |
About this market
This Kalshi market asks who will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election. It is built as a group of separate contracts, one for each named candidate, from Jon Ossoff to Raphael Warnock. According to the rules provided, the Gavin Newsom contract resolves to Yes if Newsom is sworn in as the president who takes office next, at the start of the term in 2029. Each contract has its own closing timestamp, and in this case they all share the same one. Events that could move the market include candidate announcements or withdrawals, party primary results, shifts in public opinion polling, economic conditions, major political news, legal or procedural developments, and changes in how the parties line up behind their possible nominees.
FAQ
What are the current odds for “Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?”?
At our last update (13.11.2026 06:22 UTC), Kalshi traders priced Jon Ossoff at 18%. Prices move with trading and are not a forecast by That's Gonna Come.
When does this market close?
Every contract in this market lists the same closing time: 2029-11-07T15:00:00Z (UTC).
How does this market resolve?
The rule provided covers the Gavin Newsom contract: it resolves to Yes if Newsom is sworn in as the president who takes office next, starting the term in 2029.
Odds are market prices set by traders, not predictions by That's Gonna Come and not financial or betting advice. 18+ only; platform eligibility varies by country and state.