Culture · Kalshi
Oscar Best Picture 2027: Who will win? Odds
As of 13.11.2026 00:22 UTC, traders on Kalshi put The Odyssey at 53%, down 4 points in 24 hours. $831K traded in the last 24 hours; $12.7M in total.
Context
No sourced explanation for this move is available in our recent coverage.
- The Odyssey 57%
- You Can See Everything 17%
- The Black Ball 15%
- Dune: Part Three 9%
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 53% | −4 |
| You Can See Everything | 19% | +3 |
| The Black Ball | 15% | +1 |
| Dune: Part Three | 9% | −1 |
| Wild Horse Nine | 2% | ±0 |
| Artificial | 2% | ±0 |
| Digger | 1% | ±0 |
| Project Hail Mary | 1% | ±0 |
| Disclosure Day | 1% | ±0 |
| Fjord | 1% | ±0 |
| The Social Reckoning | 1% | ±0 |
| Michael | 1% | ±0 |
| The Entertainment System Is Down | 1% | ±0 |
| Narnia: The Magician's Nephew | 1% | ±0 |
| Werwulf | 1% | ±0 |
Per-contract closing dates are not listed for this market; each contract's deadline follows the platform's rules — check the market page. View the market on Kalshi ↗
About this market
This Kalshi market asks which film will win Best Picture at the Oscars in 2027. A dozen titles are listed as possible outcomes, including The Odyssey, Dune: Part Three, Project Hail Mary and Michael. According to the rules provided, the market resolves to Yes if The Odyssey wins Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. The market is scheduled to close on 2027-12-31. Several kinds of events could shift expectations: festival premieres, critic and audience reactions, box office performance, nominations announcements, results at earlier awards ceremonies and guild prizes, and the campaigns studios run during awards season. Changes to release schedules or eligibility could also matter. This page is informational and does not offer advice.
FAQ
What are the current odds for “Oscar Best Picture 2027: Who will win?”?
At our last update (13.11.2026 00:22 UTC), Kalshi traders priced The Odyssey at 53%. Prices move with trading and are not a forecast by That's Gonna Come.
When does this market close?
The market is scheduled to close on 2027-12-31.
How does this market resolve?
According to the rules, it resolves to Yes if The Odyssey has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards.
Odds are market prices set by traders, not predictions by That's Gonna Come and not financial or betting advice. 18+ only; platform eligibility varies by country and state.