Culture · Polymarket
Who will be the next James Bond actor? Odds
As of 13.11.2026 00:22 UTC, traders on Polymarket put Callum Turner at 30%, down 2 points in 24 hours. $44.4K traded in the last 24 hours; $2.4M in total.
Context
No sourced explanation for this move is available in our recent coverage.
- Callum Turner 37%
- Jack Lowden 31%
- Robert Pattinson 14%
- No Bond chosen 11%
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Callum Turner | 30% | −2 |
| Jack Lowden | 30% | ±0 |
| Robert Pattinson | 15% | +2.4 |
| No Bond chosen | 12% | +0.5 |
| Josh O'Connor | 6% | −3.4 |
| Nicholas Hoult | 3% | ±0 |
| Tom Francis | 2% | +0.8 |
| Theo James | 1% | ±0 |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson | 0.7% | ±0 |
| Jack Barton | 0.7% | ±0 |
| James Norton | <1% | ±0 |
| Jacob Elordi | <1% | ±0 |
| Harris Dickinson | <1% | ±0 |
| Henry Cavill | <1% | ±0 |
| Richard Madden | <1% | ±0 |
Per-contract closing dates are not listed for this market; each contract's deadline follows the platform's rules — check the market page. View the market on Polymarket ↗
About this market
This market asks which actor will be officially announced as the next James Bond. Each listed actor has their own Yes/No question, and there is also an option for the case where nobody is named. A listed actor resolves to Yes only if Amazon MGM Studios officially announces them as the next Bond by the end of 2026, Eastern Time. Otherwise that outcome resolves to No. Only the first official announcement counts, even if the casting changes afterward. If no actor is announced within that window, the market resolves to "No Bond chosen". The main resolution source is official information from Amazon MGM Studios, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Prices can shift with casting rumors, press reports, studio statements, production scheduling news, or comments from people connected to the franchise. The market is listed under culture on Polymarket.
FAQ
What are the current odds for “Who will be the next James Bond actor?”?
At our last update (13.11.2026 00:22 UTC), Polymarket traders priced Callum Turner at 30%. Prices move with trading and are not a forecast by That's Gonna Come.
When does this market resolve?
The market closes on 2027-01-01. An actor must be officially announced as the next James Bond by the end of 2026, Eastern Time, for that actor's outcome to resolve to Yes.
How does this market resolve?
A listed actor resolves to Yes if they are officially announced as the next James Bond within the timeframe, based on the first official announcement. Otherwise it resolves to No. If no actor is announced, the market resolves to "No Bond chosen". The main source is Amazon MGM Studios, and credible reporting consensus may also be used.
Odds are market prices set by traders, not predictions by That's Gonna Come and not financial or betting advice. 18+ only; platform eligibility varies by country and state.