Culture · Kalshi
Who will be Time's Person of the Year for 2026? Odds
As of 13.11.2026 00:22 UTC, traders on Kalshi put Zohran Mamdani at 25%, down 2 points in 24 hours. $162K traded in the last 24 hours; $3.2M in total.
Context
No sourced explanation for this move is available in our recent coverage.
- Zohran Mamdani 26%
- James Talarico 18%
- Abdul El-Sayed 17%
- Adam Hamilton 10%
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | 25% | −2 |
| James Talarico | 19% | +1 |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 18% | ±0 |
| Annie Andrews | 16% | +4 |
| Scott Colom | 15% | ±0 |
| Adam Hamilton | 14% | +4 |
| Joshua Turek | 13% | +1 |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 11% | +2 |
| Mark Carney | 11% | ±0 |
| Pope Leo XIV | 9% | +1 |
| Jon Ossoff | 8% | ±0 |
| Xi Jinping | 6% | +4 |
| Donald Trump | 5% | −1 |
| AI | 5% | ±0 |
| Dario Amodei | 5% | ±0 |
Per-contract closing dates are not listed for this market; each contract's deadline follows the platform's rules — check the market page. View the market on Kalshi ↗
About this market
This Kalshi market asks who Time magazine will name its Person of the Year for 2026. It lists a range of candidates, many of them politicians, along with world leaders such as Mark Carney, Pope Leo XIV, Benjamin Netanyahu and Donald Trump. According to the rules published on the market, it resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift is named Time Person of the Year for 2026. That wording differs from the candidate list shown, so readers should check the official Kalshi rules for the exact terms. The market closes on 2027-01-01. Prices could shift with news coverage of major global events, elections and political developments, public speculation about Time's editorial choices, and any statements from the magazine ahead of its yearly announcement.
FAQ
What are the current odds for “Who will be Time's Person of the Year for 2026?”?
At our last update (13.11.2026 00:22 UTC), Kalshi traders priced Zohran Mamdani at 25%. Prices move with trading and are not a forecast by That's Gonna Come.
When does this market close?
The market closes on 2027-01-01.
How does this market resolve?
According to the listed rules, the market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026.
Odds are market prices set by traders, not predictions by That's Gonna Come and not financial or betting advice. 18+ only; platform eligibility varies by country and state.